According to wikipedia: "The theory of Black Swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact."
For instance, 9/11. A terrorist attack on American soil definitely came as a surprise to most. The effects of that event are still reverberating 14 years later and seems so obviously preventable in hindsight.
Because it is assumed that all swans are white, a black swan is seen as being impossible.
Unfortunately, we live in a Black Swan world. Consider:
- the 2004 tsunami in Indonesia that wiped out 250,000
- the Fukashima nuclear meltdown/earthquake/tsunami
- and Hurricane Katrina...to name a few
According to financial guru and ex-Marine Bob Moriarty, "There is a flock of black swans overhead, any of which could be catastrophic."
Moriarty, speaking in terms of a financial collapse, ISIS attack, or Middle East crisis, thinks it is only a matter of time before some calamity strikes.
And he's right. Sooner or later the mother of all Black Swan events is going to devastate the world and catch everyone by surprise. The Bible clearly predicts it.
"When the Son of Man returns, the world will be like the people were in Noah's day. In those days before the flood, the people enjoyed banquets and parties and weddings right up to the time Noah entered his boat and the flood came to destroy them all.
"And the world will be as it was in the days of Lot. People went about their daily business--eating and drinking, buying and selling, farming and building--until the morning Lot left Sodom. Then fire and burning sulfur rained down from heaven and destroyed them all.
"Yes, it will be 'business as usual' right up to the hour when the Son of Man returns." (Luke 17:26-30)And later, Jesus warns,
"Watch out! Don't let Me find you living in careless ease and drunkenness, and filled with the worries of life. Don't let that day catch you unaware, as in a trap. For that day will come upon everyone living on the earth. Keep a constant watch. And pray that, if possible, you may escape these horrors and stand before the Son of Man." (Luke 21:34-36)And there you have it--the ultimate Black Swan event.
To be caught by surprise is so obviously preventable.
"Today is the day of salvation." (Hebrews 4:7)
How To Go To Heaven
A wise man once said: "...People everywhere are beginning to feel the hair stand up on the back of their necks as if they realize something is about to happen..." -- Art Bell, The Art of Talk
- CNN: ISIS claims responsibility for Yemen bloodbath; 137 dead, 345 wounded, as well as deadly Tunisia attack that killed 23 tourists
- Sky News: "N.Korea 'Prepared' To Fire Nuclear Missile If It Feels Threatened", Ambassador says.
- DEBKAfile: Nuclear talks collapse as Iranian delegation ordered home; No chance of an accord before June 30.